Multiplic

Multiplic(logMean,logStdDev)\underline{\operatorname{Multiplic}}(\mathrm{logMean}, \mathrm{logStdDev})
  • logMean\mathrm{logMean}: mean of log values (location parameter; elogMeane^\mathrm{logMean} equals the geometric mean)
  • logStdDev\mathrm{logStdDev}: standard deviation of log values (scale parameter; controls multiplicative spread)

  • Formation: the product of many positive variables X1X2XnX_1 \cdot X_2 \cdot \ldots \cdot X_n with mild conditions (e.g., finite variance of logX\log X).
  • Origin: historically called Log-Normal or Galton distribution after Francis Galton.
  • Rename Motivation: renamed to Multiplic\underline{\operatorname{Multiplic}} to reflect its formation mechanism through multiplication.
  • Properties: logarithm of a Multiplic\underline{\operatorname{Multiplic}} (LogNormal) variable follows an Additive\underline{\operatorname{Additive}} (Normal) distribution.
  • Applications: stock prices, file sizes, reaction times, income distributions, biological growth rates.
  • Caution: no perfectly multiplic distributions exist in real data; all real-world measurements contain deviations. Traditional estimators struggle with the inherent skewness and heavy right tail.